OTH | MDC2

OTH, Emerging Security Environment, Multi-Domain Operations

Human-led Machine Learning & Advanced Threats: Case Method Inquiry and Visual Analytics Applied to COVID-19

March 26, 2020March 25, 2020 Over The Horizon 1 Comment A2AD, acquisition, AI, airpower, analysis, Analytics, artificial intelligence, autonomy, C2, c4isr, CAOC, china, combat cloud, command and control, COVID, culture, cyber, decision making, Design, DFE, doctrine, Dynamic Force Employment, human domain, Information Operations, information warfare, innovation, intelligence, ISR, JADC2, MDC2, mdo, MDOS, multi-domain operations, national security, Nodal, Nodal Analysis, node, Pandemic, planning, Policy, risk, Russia, space, strategy, technology

In a pervasive and complex information environment, analytics are vital to understanding advanced threats. As we rely more on machine-learnt results, asking the right questions and visualizing deep analysis are key to grasping and solving problems. These skills are also vital 21st century leadership tools that can forge a common focus among otherwise stove-piped specialists.

The COVID-19 pandemic presents an urgent threat that requires both scientific understanding and decisive leadership. The cause of the disease is SARS CoV-2, a mutating virus that thrives in conditions difficult to control at scale. To counter this threat, this article demonstrates in detail the potential of human-led case method and machine-provided visual analytics.

New

Artificial Intelligence in the Operational Information Environment: The Need for Proactive Doctrine

February 26, 2020February 25, 2020 Over The Horizon 2 Comments A2AD, ACE, acquisition, ACS, Agile Combat Employment, Agile Combat Support, AI, air force, airpower, army, artificial intelligence, autonomy, C2, c4isr, CAOC, china, combat cloud, command and control, culture, cyber, decision making, Design, DFE, doctrine, Dynamic Force Employment, human domain, Information Operations, information warfare, innovation, intelligence, ISR, JADC2, joint, Leadership, MDC2, mdo, MDOS, mission command, Multi Domain, multi-domain operations, national security, OODA Loop, planning, Policy, risk, Russia, space, strategy, technology, usaf

Joint operations doctrine omits the agency of artificial intelligence (AI) in the operational information environment, which is a problem. This commentary discusses why, and recommends effective changes. Key points are as follows. AI is becoming an autonomous cause of unanticipated effects. Humans are not the most effectively intelligent actors in all environments, yet our doctrine draws lessons from the past rather than anticipating emergent futures. Machines currently excel in experience-based learning and can discover relationships in data that we cannot discern. Humans can intuit, deceive, somewhat control, and manufacture and destroy machines. In time, AI will be able to perform those cognitive, informational and physical functions as well. As out-thought becomes out-fought, we need proactive doctrine now.

Multi Domain Operations

OODA Point: The Requirement for an Airman’s Approach to Operational Design (Part II)

August 20, 2019October 28, 2019 Over The Horizon 1 Comment air force, airpower, AOC, C2, c4isr, CFACC, command and control, cyber, Design, ISR, MDC2, mdo, MDOS, Multi Domain, multi-domain C2, OODA Loop, planning, technology

The ability to make and execute timely and effective decisions has been the foundation of military success for millennia. In the next decade, however, Combined Force Air Component Commanders (CFACC) planning, decision, and execution (PDE) cycles will be confronted by unprecedented challenges emerging in the constantly evolving digital ecosystem. The era of unrivaled access to the electromagnetic spectrum and dominance in multiple domains is rapidly coming to a close for the US airpower. As more and more state and non-state actors gain access to advanced technology, the CFACC’s PDE cycles will transition from an observe, orient, decide, act (OODA) loop to an OODA point. This phenomenon will also have a significant influence on the command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (C4ISR) measures necessary to shape and execute preplanned and emergent decisions in contested operational environments. One way of mitigating these nascent vulnerabilities is to develop a deliberate framework of operational design focused on airpower to provide a proactive form of vision for future CFACCs.

OTH, emerging security environment, multi-domain

Multi Domain Operations

Multi-Domain Operations: Everyone’s Doing It, Just Not Together

June 24, 2019August 24, 2019 Over The Horizon 0 Comments MDC2, mdo, MDOS, Multi Domain, peer adversary, peer competition, USA, usaf, USMC, USN

The military services are continuing to forge the way in MDO, but what progress has been made and will they be able to achieve joint efficiency?

Featured

Where does Special Operations fit in the Multi-Domain Operations Discussion?

June 10, 2019August 19, 2019 Over The Horizon 0 Comments AFSOC, MDB, MDC2, mdo, multi-domain, SOCOM, SOF, Special Operations

Understanding Special Operations role in MDO; SOCOM offers an integration model to be replicated, and SOF’s role in a near-peer MDO conflict.

OTH, multi-domain operations, emerging security environment

Featured

Innovation Madness: Accepting Risk Today to Avoid Defeat Tomorrow

April 5, 2019April 17, 2019 Over The Horizon 0 Comments c4isr, culture, innovation, Leadership, MDC2, PME, risk

The United States Air Force (USAF) recognizes a need for future innovations as near-peer competitors make rapid advancements in military capabilities. However, the current USAF system does not facilitate keeping up with these competitors. Innovation requires a cultural shift regarding risk acceptability at all levels, starting with leaders. The USAF can facilitate this shift by further addressing regulatory guidance and Professional Military Education programs. Until the USAF as an organization is willing to accept risks and ultimately failures to achieve success, mission impacting innovations will continue to be elusive.

Featured

Vulnerabilities of Multi-Domain Command and Control (Part 2)

March 6, 2019March 26, 2019 Over The Horizon 0 Comments airpower, bandwidth, C2, c4isr, EMS, MDC2, seacables, spacepower

Part 2 of the series focuses on how a peer adversary may leverage cyber, space, and EW threats against command and control capabilities, and how these effects may be mitigated through the distribution of authorities to smaller teams.

Featured

Vulnerabilities of Multi-Domain Command and Control (Part 1)

March 4, 2019March 26, 2019 Over The Horizon 3 Comments airpower, bandwidth, C2, c4isr, EMS, MDC2, seacables, spacepower

The concept of assured communications enabling an AOC’s continual SA during a peer fight might not be as easy as it sounds.

MDO Foundations

Is the USAF Effectively Embracing the Challenge of Executing Multi-Domain Operations?

February 20, 2019August 19, 2019 Over The Horizon 11 Comments ACE, CAOC, Leadership, MDC2, mdo, multi-domain, training

The United States Air Force (USAF) needs to empower lower level leaders and operators to effectively execute Multi-Domain Operations (MDO) in a future conflict with a peer adversary. This requires significant changes in training, doctrine, and culture.

Multi Domain Operations

Overview of Comments from the 2018 AFA Conference

October 8, 2018October 23, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments Access, Air, EMS, Land, maneuver, Maritime, MDC2, mdo, Multi Domain Command and Control, multi-domain operations, Sea, space

This is an overview of the conversation on what multi domain operations and multi domain C2 continues to define what those terms mean as Airman.

Multi Domain Operations

Command & Control of Tomorrow’s War: Why Decisive Mission Commanders are Key to Multi-Domain Operations

October 1, 2018October 21, 2018 Over The Horizon 1 Comment abm, air force, command, decision making, Leadership, MDC2, OIR, tac c2

As tactical-level warfare evolves, the emerging security environment will likely drive a level of chaos and friction that has not happened in recent conflicts. To effectively execute MDO in a contested environment, preparing Mission Commanders to act decisively will be essential.

Commentary

DROPZONE: How Does the Air Force See Multi-Domain Operations?

March 31, 2017September 17, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments MDC2, MDOS

A new concept, one the Army in particular is meaningfully exploring, is quickly coming into vogue in the Pentagon. Multi-Domain

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this:

Share this: