OTH | A2AD

OTH, Emerging Security Environment, Multi-Domain Operations

Human-led Machine Learning & Advanced Threats: Case Method Inquiry and Visual Analytics Applied to COVID-19

March 26, 2020June 1, 2020 Over The Horizon 1 Comment A2AD, acquisition, AI, airpower, analysis, Analytics, artificial intelligence, autonomy, C2, c4isr, CAOC, china, combat cloud, command and control, COVID, culture, cyber, decision making, Design, DFE, doctrine, Dynamic Force Employment, human domain, Information Operations, information warfare, innovation, intelligence, ISR, JADC2, MDC2, mdo, MDOS, multi-domain operations, national security, Nodal, Nodal Analysis, node, Pandemic, planning, Policy, risk, Russia, space, strategy, technology

In a pervasive and complex information environment, analytics are vital to understanding advanced threats. As we rely more on machine-learnt results, asking the right questions and visualizing deep analysis are key to grasping and solving problems. These skills are also vital 21st century leadership tools that can forge a common focus among otherwise stove-piped specialists.

The COVID-19 pandemic presents an urgent threat that requires both scientific understanding and decisive leadership. The cause of the disease is SARS CoV-2, a mutating virus that thrives in conditions difficult to control at scale. To counter this threat, this article demonstrates in detail the potential of human-led case method and machine-provided visual analytics.

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Artificial Intelligence in the Operational Information Environment: The Need for Proactive Doctrine

February 26, 2020June 1, 2020 Over The Horizon 2 Comments A2AD, ACE, acquisition, ACS, Agile Combat Employment, Agile Combat Support, AI, air force, airpower, army, artificial intelligence, autonomy, C2, c4isr, CAOC, china, combat cloud, command and control, culture, cyber, decision making, Design, DFE, doctrine, Dynamic Force Employment, human domain, Information Operations, information warfare, innovation, intelligence, ISR, JADC2, joint, Leadership, MDC2, mdo, MDOS, mission command, Multi Domain, multi-domain operations, national security, OODA Loop, planning, Policy, risk, Russia, space, strategy, technology, usaf

Joint operations doctrine omits the agency of artificial intelligence (AI) in the operational information environment, which is a problem. This commentary discusses why, and recommends effective changes. Key points are as follows. AI is becoming an autonomous cause of unanticipated effects. Humans are not the most effectively intelligent actors in all environments, yet our doctrine draws lessons from the past rather than anticipating emergent futures. Machines currently excel in experience-based learning and can discover relationships in data that we cannot discern. Humans can intuit, deceive, somewhat control, and manufacture and destroy machines. In time, AI will be able to perform those cognitive, informational and physical functions as well. As out-thought becomes out-fought, we need proactive doctrine now.

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Streamlining and Revitalizing the US Hypersonic Weapon Investment Strategy

January 22, 2020June 1, 2020 Over The Horizon 2 Comments A2AD, acquisitions, china, Hypersonics, investment strategy, investments, Russia, strategy, Weapons

The current DoD hypersonic weapon investment strategy is untenable over the next three to four years which will widen the capability gap with Russia and China. The investment strategy needs to be streamlined based on acquisition, test, and fiscal realities to field a hypersonic weapon by 2023. In order to enable success, the DoD should begin to consolidate the hypersonic weapon efforts to one per service to help alleviate budgets, focus requirements, and reduce competition at test facilities.

Multi Domain Operations

OODA Point: The Requirement for an Airman’s Approach to Operational Design (Part I)

August 16, 2019October 28, 2019 Over The Horizon 1 Comment A2AD, c4isr, HVAA, irontriad, usaf

By: Dr. Jeffrey Reilly Approximate Reading Time: 15 Minutes Abstract: The ability to make and execute timely and effective decisions

OTH, emerging security environment, multi-domain

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Tackling Tomorrow’s High Value Airborne Assets Anti-Access/Area-Denial Problem – Part Two

July 10, 2019August 14, 2019 Over The Horizon 0 Comments A2AD, c4isr, HVAA, irontriad, usaf

In Part One of a two-part series, the author describes the threat that Anti-Access/Area-Denial weapons pose to current Iron Triad operations. Part Two will discuss solutions that use current technology to overcome future capabilities.

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Tackling Tomorrow’s High Value Airborne Assets Anti-Access/Area-Denial Problem – Part One

July 8, 2019August 14, 2019 Over The Horizon 0 Comments A2AD, c4isr, HVAA, irontriad, usaf

Multi Domain Operations

The Undersea is a Discrete Operational Domain

September 19, 2018November 30, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments A2AD, china, domain, navy, submarines, undersea

The maritime domain as defined by joint doctrine is overly broad in concept and does not accurately capture the opportunities and vulnerabilities presented in the undersea.

Featured Multi Domain Operations

Fighting the Wrong Fight

August 1, 2018September 17, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments A2AD, area denial, bias, cyber, cyber offensive., human domain, IOP, mdo, multi domain battle anti-access, multi-domain operations, Multi-Instruments of Power, Russia, substitution

The US has a problem on her hands, and the emerging answers fail to address the real problem. While military

OTH, Multi-Domain Operations, Emerging Security Strategy

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Contested Skies: Our Uncertain Air Superiority Future

March 30, 2018April 8, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments A2AD, air superiority, Australia

Western air power has traditionally dominated the skies. In the future, we need to be able to counter potential adversaries’ use of the air.

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A2/AD: Translating for the Warfighter Using Operational Art

January 19, 2017February 20, 2017 Over The Horizon 7 Comments A2AD, FEAD, MDOS, Operational Art

Founded in concepts and strategy, conflict in an A2/AD environment has yet to bridge the gap to manifest itself in operational art, preventing the Joint Force from converting the idea into tactical tasks and stifling operational agility and coherence in future conflict.
By Maj. Mike “Pako” Benitez

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