Over The Horizon

OTH, multi-domain operations, emerging security environment

Podcast: Interview with CMSgt William C. Markham (Retired)

July 20, 2018July 19, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments Afghanistan, Air to ground interface, airfields, allies, Close Air Support, communications, human domain, mega cities, technology, unconventional warfare, urban warfare

Podcast: Interview with CMSgt William C. Markham (Retired) In a contested environment we will need to become less

OTH, Multi Domain, Over the Horizon, Virgin Galactic

Interview New

OTH Video: Interview with Virgin Galactic’s Kelly Latimer

July 18, 2018July 18, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments Boeing, Boeing 747, launch, NASA, rocket, satellite, space, virgin galactic, Virgin Orbit

Our vision is to make space affordable, reliable, and accessible. Video Length: 15 minutes Editor’s Note: Following her presentation to

Interview New

OTH Video: Interview with General William “Willie” Shelton (Retired)

July 16, 2018July 14, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments acquisition, anti-satellite weapon, ASAT, coalition, commercial sector, international, launch, lines of authority, organization construct, payload, satellite, space, space defense, space force, space offense, SpaceX, United Launch Alliance

Space is foundational to every military operation and yet we have not postured to adequately defend our satellites.

New

“Winning” Complex Wars: The Challenge of Combined Effects Strategy

July 13, 2018July 13, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments combined effects strategy, DIME, DIMES, grand strategy, Instruments of Power, Kim Jung Un, Non-Proliferation Treaty, North Korea, NPT, nuclear deterrence

By: Thomas A. Drohan Winning modern wars requires coordination across government agencies and the private sector. Many think this is

Feature

Avoiding the Early Bird– Innovation in the US Air Force

July 11, 2018July 19, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments acquisitions, AFWERX, air force, decision making, innovation, Policy

“The early bird gets the worm. The early worm… gets eaten” – Norm Augustine With support from the highest levels

Feature

Fixing the US Response in the Information Environment

July 9, 2018July 18, 2018 Over The Horizon 5 Comments Communication Strategy, Information Environment, Information Operations, Public Affairs

The US is vulnerable to the effects of the information environment, and must adapt by developing a comprehensive information strategy.

Interview

Aquisition Policy Podcast Highlights

July 6, 2018July 18, 2018 Over The Horizon 1 Comment air force, aquisitions, history, planning, Policy

Podcast Highlights: Unpacking Defense Acquisition Policy the Laird-Packard Way Editor’s Note: OTH sat down with Brian Fredrickson to discuss how

Podcast

Podcast: Unpacking Defense Acquisition Policy the Laird-Packard Way

July 5, 2018July 12, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments acquisition, David Packard, Hewlett Packard, Policy

Lessons learned from the study of David Packard, Deputy Secretary of Defense from 1969 to 1971, may influence present day acquisition policy.

Feature

The Laird-Packard Way: Unpacking Defense Acquisition Policy

July 2, 2018July 10, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments acquisition, David Packard, framework, innovation, Laird-Packard, reform

Exploring David Packard’s leadership in defense acquisitions may help guide the path for present day acquisition reform.

Commentary

The Future of European Security

June 29, 2018July 10, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments 6thGen, Brexit, cyber, EU, Europe, far-right, nationalism, Putin, regionalism, Russia

This is the text from Tuesday’s European Security podcast. This interview will cover an array of topics, from Brexit and

OTH, multi-domain operations, emerging security enviroment

Commentary

NATO Planning and Multi Domain Operations: A German Perspective

June 27, 2018July 5, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments ACSC, Bundeswehr, COPD, Exercise, Luftwaffe, MDOS, multi domain, NATO, planning

A German officer compares the NATO planning process with the ACSC Multi-domain approach.

Podcast

Podcast: Future European Security

June 26, 2018July 4, 2018 Over The Horizon 1 Comment Brexit, EU, European Security, EuropeanUnion, France, Germany, HomeGrownTerror, podcast, Russia, Scotland, Terror, UK

Two International Officers explain the future state of security in Europe, in light of Brexit, the European Union, and the resurgence of Russia.

Commentary

Designing Through Complexity and Human Conflict

June 22, 2018July 4, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments 21st Century, civilian design, complexity, culture, design-thinking, digital age, human-centric design, IBM, industrial design, innovation, methodology, military design, military organizations, movement, operational environment, SPADE

Rather than focus on specific or contextual concerns within a single conflict or foreign policy approach, we ought to consider

Interview

OTH Video: Interview with Lt Gen Jeff “Cobra” Harrigian

June 20, 2018June 29, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments AFCENT, Afghanistan, air component, Authorities, c4isr, CAOC, CENTCOM, CJTF_OIR, command and control, Data Fusion, decision making, Distributed Operations, Future AOC, innovation, Integration, Open Architecture, People, Shared Understanding, Tags: Multi Domain Operations, Tool Optimization, trust

At the end of the day it’s about killing and surviving. To do that, we’ve got to go faster and think beyond just air, space, and cyber.

Feature

Innovation from the Bottom-Up: How Design Thinking Can Transform the Air Force Culture

June 18, 2018June 26, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments AFWERX, applied, bottom-up innovation, business model canvas, defense innovation, Defensewerx, design-thinking, IDEO, innovation, long tail, new product design, new technology, R&D, Research and Development, service design, Silicon Valley, Silicon Valley innovation, Travis

Incorporating Silicon Valley’s design thinking methods can revolutionize the way the Department of Defense approaches innovation.

Interview

OTH Video: Interview with Lieutenant General Jay Silveria

June 15, 2018June 26, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments Air, cyber, Digital Natives, Electromagnetic Spectrum, F-35, Human Terrain, information warfare, Joint Operations, Land, Maritime, multi-domain operations, space, United States Air Force Academy

The multi domain aspect will never be what we want it to be without the synchronization required to integrate all

Interview

Changing change while it changes: The rise of disruptive military thinking (Part 3)

June 13, 2018June 21, 2018 Over The Horizon 1 Comment Adaptation, civilian design, complexity, critical thinking, decision making, decisions, Design, domain, human-centric design, IBM, industrial design, innovation, Israel, methodology, military design, military education, military philosophy, multi domain, planning, swarm theory, systemic operational design (SOD)

Militaries need to introduce design education as early as possible; cadets and privates need to experience design.

Interview

Changing change while it changes: The rise of disruptive military thinking (Part 2 of 3)

June 11, 2018June 20, 2018 Over The Horizon 1 Comment Adaptation, Brigadier General Shimon Naveh, civilian design, complexity, critical thinking, decision making, decisions, Design, human-centric design, IBM, innovation, Israeli Defense Force (IDF), methodology, military design, military philosophy, Operation Defensive Shield, planning, systemic operational design (SOD)

Military design is about constantly changing, transforming, challenging, and disrupting.

Commentary

Radicalization of British Muslim Youth

June 8, 2018June 20, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments Britain, British, Europe, islamophobia, Muslim, radicalization, terrorism, terrorist, youth

British Muslim youth are more susceptible to radicalization then their non-Muslim counterparts due to socioeconomic adversity Approximate reading time: 3

Interview

Changing change while it changes: The rise of disruptive military thinking (Part 1 of 3)

June 6, 2018June 20, 2018 Over The Horizon 1 Comment Big Data, center of gravity, complexity, critical thinking, decision making, decisions, Design, digital age, garden weeding, innovation, Key Words: IBM, methodology, military design, military philosophy, operational environment, planning

Many of the seemingly successful mechanical planning processes of the last two centuries are now holding us back

Feature

The Last Days of Putin

June 4, 2018June 17, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments democracy, domestic politics, domestic stability, economy, Kremlin, Moscow, NATO, Policy, politics, Putin, Russia, Stalin

Although the US should strive for less confrontational relations with Russia, it may be too late to salvage relations with Putin.

Interview

Russia-US Relationship: A Round Table Discussion

June 1, 2018June 14, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments culture, hybrid warfare, Latent, National Interests, National Power, national security, NATO, Policy, Putin, reflexive control, Revolution, Russia, strategy, Threat, West, Western

Approximate reading time: 20 minutes Editor’s Note: OTH sat down with three professors from Air University to discuss the Russia-US

Podcast

Podcast: Russian Strategy and Russia-US Relations

May 30, 2018June 7, 2018 Over The Horizon 1 Comment culture, hybrid warfare, Latent, National Interests, National Power, national security, NATO, NSS, Policy, Putin, reflexive control, Russia, strategy, Threat

Three professors from Air University sit down to discuss the Russia-US relationship from a strategy and policy perspective. Welcome to

Commentary

Is Intentional Sponsorship the Answer to Increasing Air Force Senior Leadership Diversity?

May 25, 2018June 7, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments diversity, general, HPO, Leadership, mentorship, sponsor, sponsorship

Intentional sponsorship may be a key factor in diversifying Air Force senior leadership. By Caitlin Thorn Approximate reading time: 5

Feature

Lead, Think, and Communicate: Embracing Air Force Intelligence Officer Agility and Versatility

May 23, 2018June 5, 2018 Over The Horizon 1 Comment communicate, intelligence, ISR, lead, profession, Think, training

Air Force ISR is comprised of military professionals. We must train to think, lead, and communicate to be effective in future wars.

Feature

Building Critical Thinkers To Win Tomorrow’s Wars: Changing The Training Paradigm

May 21, 2018May 31, 2018 Over The Horizon 1 Comment intelligence, ISR, reconnaissance, surveillance, Think, training

Air Force ISR is now a globally integrated enterprise. We must continue to focus on building critical thinkers to take us into the future.

Commentary

It’s time to take the human domain seriously. USCYBERCOM is our chance.

May 18, 2018May 31, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments COCOM, cyber, cybercom, cybercommand, Facebook, HumanDomain, infoops, information, IO, multidomain, multidomainbattle, NSA, Russia, TTPs

USCYBERCOM presents an opportunity to effectively implement human domain forces in a high-threat, resource constrained environment. Estimated Reading Time: 5

OTH, emerging security environment, multi-domain operations

Feature

Quanta of Competition: Quantum Mechanics, Multi-Domain Battle, and the Gray Zone (Part II)

May 16, 2018May 24, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments airland battle, campaign planning, competition, cross domain synergy, grand strategy design, Gray Zone, information, information warfare, mdo, multidomain, offset strategies, quantum mechanics, strategic competition, strategy

The principles of quantum physics drive a deeper understanding of conflict through analysis of interactions of the elements of competition.

Feature

Quanta of Competition: Quantum Mechanics, Multi-Domain Battle, and the Gray Zone (Part I)

May 14, 2018May 22, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments airland battle, campaign planning, competition, cross domain synergy, grand strategy design, Gray Zone, information, information warfare, mdo, multidomain, offset strategies, quantum mechanics, strategic competition, strategy

Thinking about conflict in terms of quantum mechanics rather than Newtonian physics will produce more comprehensive grand strategy.

Commentary

Reflecting on Air Force Leadership & Diversity – Three Years Later

May 11, 2018May 21, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments AF, air force demographics, airman, airmen, chief of staff of the air force, CSAF, diversity, fighter pilot, Leadership, minorities, people of color, person of color, secaf, secretary of the air force, usaf, women

The Air Force must become more diverse in its highest leadership positions to overcome the challenges of modern warfare.

Feature

Future Shocks: The Coming Oil and Water Wars

May 9, 2018May 17, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments climate change, emerging security environment, future shocks, multi-domain operations, oil economies, OTH, peak oil demand, Shocks, venezuela, weak governments

Adaptive political institutions are critical for success in the future environment. The intersections of poor governance and environmental shocks are the hot spots of the future.

Feature

Great Captains: the Timeless Lessons of the Artist, the ‘Engineer of the Occasion’ and the Adjudicator

May 7, 2018May 15, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments Agility, Cesar, de Gaulle, Great Captains, history, Leadership, Moltke the Elder, Napoleon, Subsidiarity

An effective leader accepts, without hesitation, to shoulder the responsibility to decide and accept underlying risks.

Commentary

Power Competition: The Dynamic Evolution of Public Affairs

May 4, 2018May 21, 2018 Over The Horizon 3 Comments Cambridge Analytica, Influence, Information Operations, Office of Information Engagement and Research Strategies, Political Will, Public Affairs, Public Opinion, Strategic Communication, technology

In the midst of exponential technological advancement, military communicators must also evolve. To better leverage the power of information, the

Feature

Leaving “America’s Pastime” of Joint Operations for Multidomain: A Sports Analogy

May 2, 2018May 10, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments analogy, baseball, basketball, Goldwater-Nichols Act, Joint Operations, Leadership, multidomain, sports, teamwork

The evolution from joint to multidomain requires a shift toward a more team oriented culture among peer officers.

Feature

The Cyber (EMS) Offset

April 30, 2018May 8, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments acquisition, AI, autonomy, cognitive computing, cyber, game-changing technologies, multidomain, national security, offset, Third Offset

Cognitive computing may have significant implications for future cyber and multi-domain operations.

Commentary

Making Ideas Into Reality and the Future of R&D

April 27, 2018May 7, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments Agriculture, Exoskeleton, Future of Technology, Human Interface, Private Funding, R&D, Research and Development, technology

MIT’s Media Lab produces cutting edge technology by allowing students and faculty to pursue innovative research projects without the burden

Feature

Duelling Algorithms: Using Artificial Intelligence in Warfighting

April 25, 2018May 3, 2018 Over The Horizon 1 Comment AI, artificial intelligence, Big Data, china, Human-Machine Teaming, law of armed conflict, Machine learning, morality, PLA, Project Maven, robots, Russia, Skynet

Examining the dichotomy of AI employment in warfare-“Do things better?” or “Do better things?”-and other implementation challenges.

Feature

Social Media and the Arab Spring

April 23, 2018May 1, 2018 Over The Horizon 1 Comment Arab Spring, Egypt, human domain, MENA, Middle East, protests, social media, Tunisia

Social media alone did not create the Arab Spring social movements, but access to it affected achievement of political concessions.

Commentary

Does cyber deterrence exist?

April 20, 2018May 1, 2018 Over The Horizon 4 Comments cyber, cybercom, cyberspace, deterrence, Nuclear, offensive, stuxnet

What are the US options if cyber deterrence is an intractable idea? Jake Bebber has a few ideas.

Podcast

Podcast 6 – Future African Security

April 19, 2018April 26, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments Africa, African Security, African Union, AFRICOM, Botswana, Burkina Faso, partnership, peace, resource scarcity, security, terrorism, United Nations

FRANKY Matisek joins Sean and special guests from Burkina Faso and Botswana to discuss where African security is headed.

Feature

OTH Video: Beyond the Theory – A Framework for Multi-Domain Operations

April 13, 2018April 15, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments Air, cyber, Electromagnetic Spectrum, Human, Information Operations, Joint Operations, Land, Maritime, multi-domain operations, space, technology

In the future operating environment, to successfully deter and defeat our adversaries, we must better understand how the domains interact and their basic principles.

OTH, Mutli-Domain Operations, Emerging Security Environment

References

Strategic Design: Compiled

April 12, 2018April 12, 2018 Over The Horizon 2 Comments Assumptions, Cognitive Map, Congruency Mechanism, Continuity Mechanism, Continuum of Time, Desired System, Government, grand strategy, Interagency, national security, Observed System, planning, Policy, Problem Sets, Shocks, Strategic Design, Strategists, strategy, Trends, Water Scarcity

This article is an out of cycle publication in order to consolidate three previously published articles on Strategic Design. The introduction makes the case for a “whole of community” approach to strategy and policy development, and parts I & II present the structural elements of Strategic Design.

Feature

Seven Stories for Seven Tribes: Part II

April 11, 2018April 15, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments career progression, force development, force management, game theory, personnel, talent management

The US Air Force should adopt a new officer management construct in order to recruit, retain, develop, and promote the best talent in the 21st century. (Part 2 of 2)

Feature

Seven Stories for Seven Tribes

April 9, 2018April 15, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments career progression, force development, force management, game theory, personnel, talent management

The US Air Force should adopt a new officer management construct in order to recruit, retain, develop, and promote the best talent in the 21st century.

Feature

OTH Video Primer 2: Reality of Hypersonic Weapons

April 6, 2018April 15, 2018 Over The Horizon 0 Comments emerging tech, Hypersonics, Missile, technology, Third Offset

Reality of Hypersonic Weapons: Lt Col Anderson explains the basics of hypersonics and implications for this technology for use in the future security environment.