Avoiding the Early Bird– Innovation in the US Air Force

“The early bird gets the worm. The early worm… gets eaten” – Norm Augustine With support from the highest levels

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Fixing the US Response in the Information Environment

The US is vulnerable to the effects of the information environment, and must adapt by developing a comprehensive information strategy.

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The Laird-Packard Way: Unpacking Defense Acquisition Policy

Exploring David Packard’s leadership in defense acquisitions may help guide the path for present day acquisition reform.

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Innovation from the Bottom-Up: How Design Thinking Can Transform the Air Force Culture

Incorporating Silicon Valley’s design thinking methods can revolutionize the way the Department of Defense approaches innovation.

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The Last Days of Putin

Although the US should strive for less confrontational relations with Russia, it may be too late to salvage relations with Putin.

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Lead, Think, and Communicate: Embracing Air Force Intelligence Officer Agility and Versatility

Air Force ISR is comprised of military professionals. We must train to think, lead, and communicate to be effective in future wars.

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Building Critical Thinkers To Win Tomorrow’s Wars: Changing The Training Paradigm

Air Force ISR is now a globally integrated enterprise. We must continue to focus on building critical thinkers to take us into the future.

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Quanta of Competition: Quantum Mechanics, Multi-Domain Battle, and the Gray Zone (Part II)

The principles of quantum physics drive a deeper understanding of conflict through analysis of interactions of the elements of competition.

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Quanta of Competition: Quantum Mechanics, Multi-Domain Battle, and the Gray Zone (Part I)

Thinking about conflict in terms of quantum mechanics rather than Newtonian physics will produce more comprehensive grand strategy.

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Future Shocks: The Coming Oil and Water Wars

Adaptive political institutions are critical for success in the future environment. The intersections of poor governance and environmental shocks are the hot spots of the future.

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Great Captains: the Timeless Lessons of the Artist, the ‘Engineer of the Occasion’ and the Adjudicator

An effective leader accepts, without hesitation, to shoulder the responsibility to decide and accept underlying risks.

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Leaving “America’s Pastime” of Joint Operations for Multidomain: A Sports Analogy

The evolution from joint to multidomain requires a shift toward a more team oriented culture among peer officers.

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The Cyber (EMS) Offset

Cognitive computing may have significant implications for future cyber and multi-domain operations.

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Duelling Algorithms: Using Artificial Intelligence in Warfighting

Examining the dichotomy of AI employment in warfare-“Do things better?” or “Do better things?”-and other implementation challenges.

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Social Media and the Arab Spring

Social media alone did not create the Arab Spring social movements, but access to it affected achievement of political concessions.

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OTH Video: Beyond the Theory – A Framework for Multi-Domain Operations

In the future operating environment, to successfully deter and defeat our adversaries, we must better understand how the domains interact and their basic principles.

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Strategic Design: Compiled

This article is an out of cycle publication in order to consolidate three previously published articles on Strategic Design.  The introduction makes the case for a “whole of community” approach to strategy and policy development, and parts I & II present the structural elements of Strategic Design.

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Seven Stories for Seven Tribes: Part II

The US Air Force should adopt a new officer management construct in order to recruit, retain, develop, and promote the best talent in the 21st century. (Part 2 of 2)

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Seven Stories for Seven Tribes

The US Air Force should adopt a new officer management construct in order to recruit, retain, develop, and promote the best talent in the 21st century.

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OTH Video Primer 2: Reality of Hypersonic Weapons

Reality of Hypersonic Weapons: Lt Col Anderson explains the basics of hypersonics and implications for this technology for use in the future security environment.

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Contested Skies: Our Uncertain Air Superiority Future

Western air power has traditionally dominated the skies. In the future, we need to be able to counter potential adversaries’ use of the air.

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Information Operations in a Multi-Domain Operations Battlespace

Emphasizing information operations in multi-domain operations elevates multi-domain ops and integrated warfare

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21st Century Strategic Deterrence: “Beyond Nuclear”

The U.S. needs to start writing the guidelines for 21st century strategic deterrence, focusing on methods beyond nuclear options.

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An Acquisition Offset: Exploiting the Time Dimension

Accepting increased product and process risk is necessary to facilitate the faster acquisitions timelines the future operating environment demands.

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Defense Acquisition: The System Is Our Battlefield

The acquisition process is built for peacetime and is hindering US ability to rapidly develop and deliver technologies to the warfighter.

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Strategic Design Part II

Strategic design is not a strategy cure all, it is a means by which to go far beyond ill structured brain storming sessions and tactically rigid joint planning.

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Strategic Design Part I

Strategic design is a constructivist model focused on developing schemata to explore complex problem sets involving grand strategy and policy.

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Introduction to Strategic Design

A strategic design framework may be the point of origin for fostering “whole of community” solutions.

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Airpower: An Enabler Offering Strategic Opportunities The Force of Flexibility, Synergistic Effects and Versatility

The strategic value of airpower admittedly depends on the conditions of every special case as it occurs, yet steadily increases in significance when combined with other arms across the domains and across the levels of war.

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Cross-Domain Network Engagement: Partnering, Engaging and Countering Activities for Human-Machine Networks

In the future, advanced human-machine collaborative networks will engage friendly, neutral and enemy networks across a spectrum of conflict.

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Multi-Domain Operations at the Strategic Level

The recent NSS and NDS elevate multi-domain ops to the forefront of US national strategy. The upcoming NMS must capitalize on this framework.

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Lt Gen Deptula Remarks – OTH Speaker Series – Aerospace Power in an Age of Uncertainty

Retired Lt Gen David Deptula shares his thoughts on the future of warfare-in particular, aerospace power in an age of uncertainty.

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Swarming Intelligence: Concept to Reality

Two decades of swarming optimization research lay the groundwork for the development of physical swarming techniques.

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Application of Autonomy: Swarming Systems Implications for Design, Processes, and Policy of Swarming Weapon Systems

Delivery of swarming systems to the warfighter will not be hindered by the technology development, but rather the processes and procedures in which to implement this technology.

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Math Wars: The Myths of Quantitative Analysis

Quantitative analysis is a powerful tool, but it will never precisely solve the riddle of warfare despite repeated promises to the contrary.

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Geopolitical Future of the South Caucasus

In the next five to ten years, the South Caucasus region will face a growing increase of Russian influence while witnessing a decrease in Western involvement.

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The Future of The French Air Force: A Future Combat Air System as a Strategy to Counter Access Denial

By 2030, France is committed to design a Future Combat Air System (FCAS) to overcome the ever-growing contest of Western air supremacy around the world. Ultimately, the FCAS has no other ambition than to preserve France’s capability for ‘first entry’ options.

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OTH Video PRIMER 1: The Human Domain

OTH’s own, Major Julie Janson, provides a short primer on the Human Domain as the first entry in OTH’s newly developed primer series.

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Multi-Domain Operations Security

OPSEC is one of many information related capabilities that must evolve in the next few years to ensure our military protects its future critical information.

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War as a Living Phenomenon: Change from and Continuity with the Past in Warfare

War is a living, multiform and complex phenomenon in perpetual motion, where there is no culmination point. The future of war is both decided by a slow-pace adaptation to experiences and history and radical innovations.

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Countering Hypersonic Threats with Directed Energy

In this article, the author presents an argument for a plausible defense for countering hypersonic threats through the use of directed energy.

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The Phonics of Hypersonics

As part of our series on the Third Offset Initiative, the author presents a sound argument for the development of hypersonic technology and potential applications for future use.

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The Building Blocks of Multi-Domain: A Reading List that Gets Beyond the Buzzwords

In this article, OTH brings you a reading list compiled by contributing editor Dr. Jeff Reilly to equip readers with the necessary elements to discuss the why and how of multi-domain.

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***OTH ANNIVERSARY*** FIFTH GENERATION WARFARE AND OTHER MYTHS: CLARIFYING MUDDLED THINKING IN OUR CURRENT DEFENSE DEBATES

This article explores some of the myths one frequently sees as the US DoD attempts to build a force with purpose in the emerging operational environment.

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***OTH Anniversary*** CSAR: Restoring Promise to a Sacred Assurance

As part of our anniversary celebration series, we present the fourth most read article of 2017, where Brandon Losacker assesses the state of CSAR.

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***OTH Anniversary*** Multi-Domain Thinking and the Human Domain

Today’s editor’s pick was chosen by Julie Janson. In it, Tom Flounders makes a compelling argument that the Human Domain is the decisive domain.

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***OTH Anniversary*** Returning to Marshall: Mastering Risk by Understanding It

Leaders must remember that risk is inherent in all military operations. Identify the risk, mitigate the risk, and accept prudent risk.

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***OTH Anniversary*** The Military Design Movement: Drifting towards Embracing Uncertainty and Transformation in Complex Environments

As part of our anniversary celebration series, we present the third most read article of 2017.

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***OTH Anniversary*** Over the Horizon: The Multi-Domain Operational Strategist (MDOS)

As part of the OTH anniversary series, this article, by Dr. Jeffrey Reilly, forms a foundation for discussing multi-domain operations.

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***OTH Anniversary*** The Value of a Secret: Secrecy vs Innovation

This OTH Anniversary article takes a look at the need for increased information sharing across programs in order for multi domain operations to be successful.

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