The following are remarks presented by the author at International Space Development Conference in May, 2018.
Approximate Reading time: 8 minutes
By Howard Bloom
In 2018, the race is on to determine which nation will lead the world, China or the United States.
At the moment, China already looks like the future winner. It’s promoting what it calls a New World Order, an order in which the new top dog is, you guessed it: China. Chinese president Xi Jinping calls this New World Order the Chinese Dream. China means to achieve its dream with a secret weapon it calls the Belt and Road. We call that secret weapon the New Silk Road. The New Silk Road is much, much bigger than it sounds. It’s a $20 trillion project. Yes, you heard that right–20 trillion dollars. More than America’s entire yearly economic output. The New Silk Road will connect China with 65 countries and 4.4 billion people by high-speed rail, futuristic ports, high-speed telecommunications, and hi-tech electrical infrastructure, sustainable, green electrical infrastructure. The Belt and Road will pull together Africa, Asia, Europe, and South America, making it possible to get goods from the Guangdong province of China 6,700 miles to the furthest cities of Spain in a mere two days. And the New Silk Road will change the global economy as profoundly as the discovery of the New World changed the global economy in the 1500s.
The Bible says that without a vision, a nation will perish. Does America have a vision as big as China’s, a vision with which it can ensure that the 21st century remains an American Century? Yes, but the vision that will save us is not coming from Washington DC. It’s coming from Hawthorne, California, and Seattle, Washington. It’s coming from the minds of SpaceX’s Elon Musk and Amazon’s Jeff Bezos.
America’s answer to the New Silk Road is a platinum highway in the sky, an economy in space. What does a platinum highway in the sky mean? One of our NASA-based colleagues, Bruce Pittman, points out that just one asteroid, Amun 3554, has platinum, nickel, and cobalt worth $20 trillion, a figure bigger than the gross domestic product of Japan, Germany, the United Kingdom, France, and India combined. Pittman also points out that this asteroid is worth 200 times more than all the gold that America mined in California in the gold rush. In other words, this one asteroid, Amun 3554, is worth as much as all of China’s New Silk Road. And Amun 3554 is rated as “one of the smallest” asteroids in its class.
But the real economic boom in space will come in our children’s time. It will come from developing real estate in space—towns and cities where we can have gardens, parks, and forests. Massive space colonies, O’Neill Colonies hanging in the heavens with 125 square miles of land per colony. Those human outposts will massively accelerate the entire human economy. Why? The real payoff in the California gold rush did not come from gold. It came from selling food, transport, and housing to the miners. It came from selling them clothing, like the denim pants made by Levi Strauss (http://www.levistrauss.com/our-story/). It came from selling them mining equipment like the goods wholesaled by Leland Stanford. It came from selling the miners groceries like the foodstuffs wholesaled by Mark Hopkins. And it eventually came from establishing new industries no one had ever dreamed of before—the industries of Hollywood and Silicon Valley. Wherever you plant humans, you plant an economy.
But beating the impact of China’s New Silk Road with the benefits of a new space economy won’t be easy. There are two major obstacles. One obstacle is time. China has already taken control of more than fifteen of the world’s ports, ports in Asia, Africa, South America, and Europe. And China is upgrading these ports to handle cargos in ways the planet has never seen before. What’s more, China sent its first test cargo of manufactured goods by rail from Asia to Spain roughly six months ago. So, China has already begun delivering on its New Silk Road.
The platinum highway in the sky, the new space economy, on the other hand, may take more time. Decades more time. Many of the tools of the new space economy—like lunar landers and robotic mining equipment—haven’t even been built.
The new space economy—the platinum highway in the sky—has to overcome another problem. The American government spends roughly $20 billion per year on space. But when it comes to putting humans in space, almost all of NASA’s budget is stolen. Senators and Congressmen use manned space funds to generate jobs in their districts and to pour profits into the pockets of the companies of the Space Military Industrial Complex. In exchange for fat campaign contributions. Congressmen have forced NASA to sink its money into two useless but overwhelmingly expensive projects—the Space Launch System and the Orion spacecraft. What’s wrong with the Space Launch System and the Orion? The Space Launch System will cost between one and two billion dollars per launch. Yes, up to two billion dollars for just one launch. That’s the price of more than twenty launches of a SpaceX Falcon Heavy. For the price of one launch of the Space Launch System, you could buy an entire 20-launch Falcon Heavy space program. And there’s one more tiny detail. The Falcon Heavy has flown. The Space Launch System has not. Then there’s the Orion. The Orion can’t land on the moon. And it can’t land on Mars. What’s more, it’s too small for a ten-month journey to Mars. But the Orion and the Space Launch System suck over three billion dollars a year out of NASA’s budget. That leaves no money to develop what we really need—vehicles that CAN land on the moon and Mars, lunar rovers to find water, lunar mining equipment to turn that water into rocket fuel, and lunar bases where humans can work hard, then kick back and enjoy themselves.
We have to kill the SLS, the Orion and their sister program, the deep space gateway, and use the three billion dollars a year we save to motivate companies like SpaceX, Blue Origin, and whatever firms want to compete with them. We need to put money into Elon Musk’s vision of cities on Mars and Jeff Bezos’ vision of a permanent transport infrastructure in space, a highway in the sky. Not to mention Bezos’ vision of moving heavy industry and mining into the heavens and turning the earth into a residential zone.
Frankly, opening the new economy in space—opening America’s platinum highway in the sky– should be a national priority. It’s an issue of national security. It’s our major shot at keeping America from becoming a global has-been. And it’s urgent. I co-founded and chaired the Asian Space Technology Summit in Kuala Lumpur Malaysia a year ago, and I can tell you that in Asian eyes, America already looks like a has-been.
What’s the bottom line? A nation that looks up goes up. A nation that looks down goes down. America has to look up. Outpacing the Chinese New Silk Road with America’s Platinum Highway in the Sky is urgent.
Howard Bloom is an American author. He was a publicist in the 1970s and 1980s for singers and bands such as Prince, Billy Joel, and Styx. In 1988 he became disabled with chronic fatigue syndrome. Since then, he has published three books on human evolution and group behavior, The Genius of the Beast, Global Brain, and The Lucifer Principle, a book on Islam, ‘The Muhammad Code’ and his autobiography ‘How I Accidentally Started The Sixties.’
Disclaimer: The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Department of the Air Force or the U.S. Government.